3-SMA-Spread - cross-instrument stat.arb (Statistical Arbitrage) Indicator of market Spread of 3 (three) different instruments via building visual iChannel (see below formula) that is changing its Width proportionally to the input from each instrument ("Statistical Arbitrage" based on SMA).
Core principle: Price lines following the prices of "their" symbols after each discrepancy are constantly tending to return to the total of "synthetic" central. In other words, a system of 3 "related" instruments//pairs constantly strives to revert to their mean (so called "mean-reversion" effect).
The following formulas have been used to build iChannel:
This formula allows combining various instruments on one chart (see Fig. 1), for example:
Conditions for Signal:
#1. Width of iChannel started to narrow (first green dot after series of red dots)
#2. Width of iChannel > Level
#3. Price Line S1 is on one side of Middle-line М, аnd Price Lines S2 and S3 are on the opposite side of Middle-line М -- as following:
Parameters:
Other useful information:
Typical EXAMPLES of highly correlated 3-way instruments:
Complete list of 120 classic 3-way combinations of currency pairs - see link in the Comments section.
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